As recently as this month, I posted on the meteoric rise of Herman Cain. This post here is notable for two reasons. First, of course, it is very, very rare that I will mention one of my prior posts that I wrote earlier in the same month. On average, with only one or two posts a month on various topics, it’s like actually watching lightning strike by referencing another same month post. I probably haven’t done that in nearly two years. Second, it goes to show how quickly a candidate can fall into ill-repute in a matter of weeks. Yes folks, less than three weeks ago, we were looking at King Cain, the GOP frontrunner rivaling Mitt Romney. Now, King Cain has been thoroughly dogged by yet another alleged mistress. Maybe Herman Cain is the Tiger Woods of politics?
Herman Cain supporters no doubt need only point to Ginger White and say: consider the source. She has filed a sexual harassment claim with her employer about ten years ago, declared bankruptcy, has been evicted numerous times, had a restraining order against her for stalking, and sued for libel and defamation. Surely Herman Cain could do better. That said, the Cain Train is likely derailed and (I believe) unlikely to get back on the political fast track for this presidential election.
In the meantime, the new guy on top: unlikely Newt Gingrich. One can only wonder if he will be the next one up on the chopping block. Think: wack-a-mole.
In the meantime, I leave you with this gem from Jon Stewart. I would embed this if I could figure out how, but in the meantime, click the link and watch. It’s only five minutes.
I confess, I am astounded by the meteoric rise of Herman Cain. I suppose Romney turns off many conservative voters, understandably so. I can’t say that I’m surprised though. I am sure I probably mentioned this before (I’m just not prepared to dig back three years so check whether I predicted this), but ever since the last election, I have been ridiculously skeptical of anything offered by the GOP, especially when it comes to candidates. There isn’t a single one that excites me; that was true as three years ago as it is today.
I was completely disenfranchised with “Maverick” McCain who seemed to shift his position to the right much more when he was running for office. Even putting Mormonism aside – which a portion of Americans cannot do – Romney’s east coast governing sends shivers down many small-government conservatives.
Now comes Herman Cain touting his 9-9-9 plan. Never mind the plan not being thoroughly vetted and him not having any foreign policy experience. He continues to hold high numbers in the polls. I personally think that if he is elected, the GOP will be solidly thumped in the general election. Cain’s 9-9-9 plan is catchy, but that’s exactly what it is – more of a catch phrase rather than a meritorious, plausible program. But he seems to be capitalizing off the slogan. This morning, while reading the Drudge Report, I came across this advertisement.
If this is the best the GOP has to offer, I submit that November 2012 will be Obama’s election to lose. Even though much hay has been made in the tabloids that no sitting president has won reelection when unemployment has been above above 7.2% with the exception of Reagan. Low approval numbers are also not in Obama’s favor. As mentioned by the Washington Post:
At 43 percent approval in a Gallup poll conducted Oct. 28-30, Mr. Obama recently referred to himself as an “underdog” — with good reason. Of all the presidents since World War II whose job-approval scores were lower than 50 percent one year before Election Day, only one went on to win a second term.
The exception – President Nixon.
But with the circus of candidates in the Republican party, Obama doesn’t need low-employment numbers or high approval numbers. The cards are still in his favor.